This is a translation of the original article in Portuguese. Read the original (Português).
Families with children in private schools should face tuition increases of 7% to 10% in 2027, according to a projection by FGV Ibre, the Brazilian Institute of Economics of the Getulio Vargas Foundation. The range is above the projected inflation rate for the period, which is 5.22%. The estimate was published by the newspaper Diário de São Paulo.
Another survey, conducted by Grupo Rabbit with 580 educational institutions, reached an average increase of 9%. That figure is close to the upper limit of the range calculated by FGV Ibre.
In practice, the increase exceeds inflation by almost 2 to almost 5 percentage points. With the 9% average reported by Grupo Rabbit, the gap over projected inflation rises to more than 3.7 points.
To give an idea of the impact on family budgets: a hypothetical monthly tuition of R$ 1,000 would cost between R$ 1,070 and R$ 1,100 next year. Over 12 months, that represents between R$ 840 and R$ 1,200 more per child, not counting school supplies and other expenses.
The increase arrives just as families are re-enrolling, when they must decide whether to keep their children in the same school and plan their budget for the following year.
According to Diário de São Paulo, schools in Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo justify the increase with three cost pressures: electricity bills, salaries for teachers and staff, and the end of the 6×1 schedule, a work regime in which employees work six days for one day off.
The argument about the work schedule is the newest on the list. Changes to working hours may require hiring more staff or paying additional hours, which schools say they pass on to tuition. However, the real weight of this factor at each institution depends on the makeup of its staff and on how each school organizes its shifts.
The justifications presented so far come from schools in the Rio-São Paulo axis. The actual increase in each city and at each school will depend on local costs and each institution’s pricing policy.
For families, re-enrollment is also the moment to ask the school for explanations about the proposed percentage and to compare the increase with inflation for the period and with the fees charged by other institutions in the region.
Reporting from Diário de São Paulo (Edição impressa, p. 6 (nacional)).
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